Posts Tagged ‘GBPJPY analysis’

GBPJPY: Bullish market condition, Weekly charts agree

Wednesday, February 10th, 2010

The GBPJPY is trading in a bullish market condition, earlier this morning the GBPJPY broke through the short term resistance level triggering a bullish MC. What is most interesting though is the weekly chart:

GBPJPY

GBPJPY

The GBPJPY is trading near a W support level, and the next LT level is at 150.44… so what do you think? Would you hold your trade for a month for the possibility to get 900 pips??? Tricky isn’t it? Remember we are talking about the weekly chart here, and there are 1D levels in between.

What would you do?

Trade Safe

Raul Lopez
http://www.straightforex.com/

GBPJPY: Bullish market condition, Long trades in play

Friday, December 11th, 2009

Last Wednesday I wrote about the GBPJPY, we were waiting for the pound-yen to break the short term range, and guess what?… it just broke that range:

GBPJPY

GBPJPY

The GBPJPY broke the short term resistance level setting us up for a bullish market condition.

Here is my plan:

As long as the GBPJPY trades above 144.12 I will be looking for long trade opportunities. My next LT resistance level is at 146.65

All short trade opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe!
Raul Lopez

GBPJPY: Waiting for a short term range breakout

Wednesday, December 9th, 2009

In the last weeks the JPY crosses have been trading in a pretty wide range, the GBPJPY for instance went from around 150.35 to around 139.79 to 148.20 and right now it is trading at 142.55, this is more than 2,500 in a little more than 3 weeks.  These are the swings that we need to stalk:

GBPJPY

GBPJPY

Right now the GBPJPY is trading around the LT support level of 142.62, in the short term charts this zone accounts for: 144.02 and 142.17 (quite large short term range). So right now I’m waiting for the market to break that range before starting to look for a trade opportunity.

So here is my Trading Plan:

If the Pound-yen breaks the 144.02 ST resistance level, I will be looking for long trade opportunities.

If the GBPJPY breaks the 142.14 ST support level, I will be looking for short trade opportunities.

If it continues to trade in the ST range I will do nothing.

Trade Safe!
Raul Lopez

GBPJPY: Not a good one to trade

Tuesday, November 17th, 2009

It appears that the market is reacting now, most pairs are trading in a clear market condition (finally after two weeks of very few opportunities) and there are good opportunities in some pairs and crosses.

However, there is one cross that continues to trade in a undefined range (the most difficult market condition to trade since we have no clear support or resistance levels), and it is the GBPJPY.

I know many traders like the GBPJPY because it moves pretty fast and the average daily range is greater than most currency pairs, but these weeks have been difficult to find any opportunity in this one, just take a look at the next chart:

GBPJPY

GBPJPY

This one has no clear support or resistance levels, the GBPJPY stalled around 150ish, so the best thing to do here would be to wait for the market to break the range before looking for any trade.

My Trading Plan

Forget about GBPJPY

Trade Safe

Raúl López

More ranges…

Tuesday, November 10th, 2009

Ahhh man, I thought that after the NFP announcement last Friday we were going to see more trading opportunities, but that’s not the case. Last week most pairs ranged, in the first two days of the week we have more ranges, just one opportunity: Short USDCAD (we wrote about this yesterday), but in the others… nothing for no one….

Trade opportunities:

USDCAD – Short

Trading at an important level:

EURUSD
USDCHF
USDJPY
EURGBP
GBPCHF
EURJPY

Not clear market condition:

GBPUSD
GBPJPY
NZDUSD

However, remember we got 6 pairs trading at important levels, as soon as they get out of the short term range, we’ll be trading them. Anyway, remember we are not supposed to trade every day, we are supposed to trade when we really have a good chance to win.

Trade Safe!

Raul Lopez

Good Trading Opportunities for today

Tuesday, November 3rd, 2009

free trading sessions (which you can subscribe from here).

Today the market is clearer than yesterday, we have plenty of trading opportunities in the EURUSD, USDCHF, USDCAD, GBPCHF and more. Please see the video for details.

In this video: Daily analysis on major forex currency pairs (and some crosses):

If you cant see this video you need to download this codec

GBPJPY: Longs in play

Tuesday, October 27th, 2009

You must think I’m crazy because I’m looking for a trading opportunity in the GBPJPY after last Friday movements. But you know, it was different in the GBPJPY, movements were clearer and it retraced exactly at long term important levels, so it is probably a good idea to look for a trading opportunity here.

Anyway, the GBPJPY was rejected from an important long term support level and now it is trading in a bullish market condition.

GBPJPY

GBPJPY

My Trading Plan

As long as the Pound-Yen continues to trade above 150.20 I will be looking for long trading opportunities. All TP orders will be placed around the next resistance level at 153.13

All short opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe

Raul Lopez

GBPJPY: Trading in a short term range

Tuesday, October 20th, 2009

Looks like the GBPJPY is trading in a short term range in between 147.41 and 149.04, it’s a fairly wide range, but we’ve got to remember that we are talking about the GBPJPY, probably the cross that moves the most.

GBPJPY

GBPJPY

What is more interesting is that the short term range is near a long term resistance level (blue line), so we need to wait for the market to break that range before we start to look for a trading opportunity.

Here is my Trading Plan:

If the market breaks the short term resistance level, that would put the GBPJPY in a bullish market condition, so I will look for long trading opportunities. All take profit orders will be placed below the next long term resistance level around 152.38.

If the market breaks the short term support level, it would be a bearish market condition, so I will look only for short trading opportunities. All take profit orders will be placed above the next long term support level around 143.62

Trade Safe!

Raul Lopez

GBPJPY: Waiting for further confirmation

Monday, October 5th, 2009

In the last weeks the GBPJPY has been trading smoothly in between long term support and resistance levels, making it easy to find trades in between those levels. Right now, it is trading in a range in between 143.86 and 140.77, take a look at the next chart:

GBPJPY

GBPJPY

We need to wait for the short term confirmation before we start looking for a trading opportunity in the GBPJPY.

Here is my Trading Plan:

If the market breaks the 143.89 for the upside, that means that the GBPJPY broke that range for the upside and we should be looking for long trading opportunities. If this happens, I will be looking to take profits below the next long term resistance level at 148.75

If the GBPJPY breaks the 143.18 level for the downside, it means that it will continue to trade in the 4H range and only short opportunities will be in play. If this happens, I will be looking to take profits above the next long term support level at 140.77

If the market keeps trading in between 143.89 and 143.18 I will do nothing.

Trade Safe

Raul Lopez

Market condition change

Monday, September 28th, 2009

Last week we did post about the possible bullish market condition in the GBPUSD and the GBPJPY. But we also mentioned that the interest rate announcement from the FED could change the sentiment of the market, and it did.

For pairs like the EURUSD where there was a bullish market condition, the market entered into a consolidation period with a bearish bias, and the same happened to the USDCHF (mirroring the EURUSD) was in a bearish market condition, but now it is in a consolidation period with a bullish bias.

For the GBPUSD and the GBPJPY, both of them were in a bullish market condition, but suddenly after the interest announcement the market condition changed the other way around to a bearish market condition. The good news is that we still have some room before the market hits its next long term support level, hope we are able to open position in these two pairs.

We’ll be updating you about the market condition during the week.

Trade safe

Raul Lopez

GBPJPY: Bullish market condition

Wednesday, September 23rd, 2009

Today is announced probably the most important news event in the forex market, the interest rate announcement from the FED. So we need to be careful, although no interest rate change is expected later today, traders and investors will focus in the tone of the speech: hawkish, etc. So we still could have some impact and wild swings.

Technically speaking, the GBPJPY is in a bullish market condition, it bounced off an important support level, please take a look at the next chart:

GBPJPY

GBPJPY

I know, a lot of us were expecting the market to brake the long term support level and validate the daily double top, but I guess the GBPJPY is not ready for that yet. Instead, it was rejected from that support level around 149.11, so, we need to look for long trading opportunities.

My Trading Plan:

As long as the market keeps trading above 149.37 I will be looking for long trading opportunities. All my TP orders will be set at 152.38. Remember: no trades before the interest rate announcement.

All short opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe!

Raul Lopez

GBPJPY: Trading scenarios

Tuesday, June 30th, 2009

The GBPJPY is trading at an important long term resistance level around 159.45, in the short term charts it is trading in a tight range in between 159.79 and 158.23, so it first need to clear either support or resistance to start looking for trading opportunities, please take a look at the next chart:

GBPJPY

GBPJPY

My Trading Plan:

If the market breaks the 159.79 short term resistance line, I will be looking for long opportunities. All take profit orders will be placed around 161.70

If the market breaks the 158.23 short term support level, I will be looking for short trading opportunities. All take profit orders will be placed around 157.00

If the market keeps trading in the short term range I will do nothing.

Good luck

Raul Lopez

GBPJPY: A simple trading plan

Wednesday, June 24th, 2009

The cross GBPJPY is getting closer to a few trading setups, but first, the market needs to break important short term support or resistance levels. Please take a look at the chart below.

GBPJPY

GBPJPY

My Trading Plan:

If the market breaks the short term resistance level around 156.74 (green resistance line), I will start to look for long opportunities, and all take profit levels will be placed below the long term resistance around 159.45

If the market breaks the short term support level around 154.87 (green support line), I will start to look only for short trading opportunities (will validate the head & shoulders pattern), and all take profit orders will be placed around 150.00

Good luck

Raul Lopez