Posts Tagged ‘Forex majors’

USCCAD: Finally in a bearish market condition

Monday, November 9th, 2009

The USDCAD traded in an undefined range for a while, but now it has broken a major support level indicating a strong bearish market condition:

USDCAD

USDCAD

This market condition is likely to continue until it hits the next long term support level at 1.0273, until then I will be looking for short trading opportunities.

My Trading Plan:

As long as the USDCAD keeps trading below 1.0606 I will be looking for short trading opportunities. All TP orders will be set above the next long term support level at 1.0273

All long opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe!

Raul Lopez

Interest rate announcement day

Wednesday, November 4th, 2009

free trading sessions (which you can subscribe from here).

We got to be careful today, the interest rate announcement from the US is due 2:15EST, I’d recommend you to stay on the sidelines, but here the analysis anyway.

In this video: Daily analysis on major forex currency pairs (and some crosses):

If you cant see this video you need to download this codec

EURUSD: Bearish, looking for short opportunities

Thursday, October 29th, 2009

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Since last Monday we had a wild downside movement in the EURUSD, but it entered into a congestion zone where it was difficult to find clear support or resistance level, thus being difficult to trade.

This morning the EURUSD broke that congestion zone, and it is clearer now:

EURUSD

EURUSD

We might have a small retracement, but it is in a clear bearish market condition. And what is more interesting is that the next LT support level is a few hundred pips away :)

My Trading Plan:

As long as the Euro keeps trading below 1.4761 I will be looking for short trading opportunities. All take profit orders will be placed above the next support level: 1.4515

All long trading opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe

Raul Lopez

Dont forget to register to our FREE Trading Room

AUDUSD: Looking for short opportunities

Monday, October 26th, 2009

This Monday has been difficult for most currency pairs because of the wild moves we saw in the EUR pairs, last Friday movements in the GBP pairs… Probably the best thing to do today is to look for the clearest trading opportunities, like the AUDUSD

Last Thursday we talked about the AUDUSD, we mentioned the market was trading in a short term range and it needed to break either side of the range to start looking for a trading opportunity. Well, just broke the bottom of the range:

AUDUSD

AUDUSD

This puts the Aussie-dollar in a bearish market condition, looking for short trading opportunities.

My Trading Plan:

As long as the market keeps trading below 0.9193, I will be looking for short trading opportunities. All TP orders will bet set around 0.9022.

All long opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe!

Raul Lopez

AUDUSD: Trading at an important resistance

Friday, October 23rd, 2009

The AUDUSD is trading at an important long term resistance level (blue line):

AUDUSD

AUDUSD

I would like to see the AUDUSD out of the short term range before think about opening a position here.

Here is my Trading Plan

If the Australian Dollar breaks the top of the short term range, I will be looking for long trading opportunities. All take profit orders will be placed below the next LT resistance level around 0.9638.

If the Australian dollar breaks the bottom of the range, I will be looking for short trading opportunities. All take profit orders will be placed above the next LT support level around 0.9022.

If the market keeps trading in between the ST range, I will do nothing.

Trade Safe!

Raul Lopez

GBPUSD: Still in a bullish market condition

Tuesday, October 20th, 2009

Even though the GBPUSD has been ranging in the last 4 or 5 trading sessions, we are still in a bullish market condition looking for long trading opportunities. Here is the chart:

GBPUSD

GBPUSD

The pound-dollar broke the previous resistance level (now support), this should take it to the next long term resistance level around 1.6658.

My Trading Plan

As long as the Sterling keeps trading above 1.6276, I will be looking for long trading opportunities. All take profit orders will be set below the next resistance level around 1.6658.

All short opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe!

Raul Lopez

EURUSD & USDCAD Update, after Core CPI

Thursday, October 15th, 2009

The EURUSD continues to trade in a bullish market condition, I’m still long here and I think I will hold this trade until it reaches 1.5300ish. Today the market had a retracement, after the core CPI announcement, luckily it didn’t broke the short term support level. Still looking to add positions.

The USDCAD yesterday was in a bearish market condition, it broke the short term range for the downside but it came back up. So right now I have widened up the short term range and waiting again for the market to break either side of it 1.0356 – 1.0207. If the market breaks the ST resistance level, I will be looking for long trading opportunities. If the market breaks the support level I will be looking for short trading opportunities.

Trade Safe!

Raul Lopez

USDCAD: Heading for parity?

Wednesday, October 14th, 2009

Looks like the USDCAD will head for parity. The market traded in a range for a few days, that’s the kind of behavior we usually see when the market reaches an important level. But right now, it looks like the USDCAD is out of that range. Take a look at the next chart:

USDCAD

USDCAD

My Trading Plan:

As long as the USDCAD keeps trading below the 1.0268 I will be looking for short trading opportunities. All take profit orders will be set above the parity (strong support is expected around that zone).

All long opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe!

EURUSD: Finally, in a Bullish Market Condition, will it reach 1.5346?

Wednesday, October 14th, 2009

Its been a while since the last time I placed a trade in the EURUSD, but now, apparently it wants to head up. But, how high could it go? Well, my next long term resistance level is at 1.5346, so we’ll probably see the EURUSD trading at those levels in the following days/weeks.

EURUSD

EURUSD

Right now it is trading in a short term range around 1.4859 and 1.4802. We’ll see what happens.

My Trading Plan:

As long as the EURUSD keeps trading above 1.4800 I will be looking for long trading opportunities. All take profit orders will be placed below the next LT resistance level around 1.5346.

All short opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe!

Raul Lopez

USDCAD: Just Broke through the long term range

Tuesday, October 6th, 2009

Since the first days of August the USDCAD has been trading in a range in between 1.0659 and 1.1067, but today is out of it. Take a look at the next chart:

USDCAD

USDCAD

In the chart above is clear that the USDCAD is out of that range, this puts the USDCAD in a bearish market condition.

My Trading Plan:

As long as the market keeps trading below 1.0622 I will be looking for short trading opportunities. All my TP orders will be placed above the next long term support level around 1.0319

All long opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe!

Raul Lopez

AUDUSD: Broke the range, long trades in play

Wednesday, September 30th, 2009

The AUDUSD kept trading in a very tight range in the last 2 weeks. But earlier today the Aussie broke that range for the upside, this is what I got:

AUDUSD

AUDUSD

Now that it is out of that range, we entered a bullish market condition and should be looking only for long trading opportunities.

My Trading Plan:

As long as the AUDUSD keeps trading above 0.8781 I will be looking for long trading opportunities. All TP orders will be placed below the next long term resistance level around 0.9006

All short trading opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe!

Raul Lopez

GBPUSD: Bullish market condition, longs in play

Tuesday, September 29th, 2009

There has been a few changes in the GBPUSD since last week, the market was rejected from 1.5822 a previous important level, so I decided to move my long term level to that area. Here is what I got:

GBPUSD

GBPUSD

Based on this analysis, the GBPUSD (pound-dollar) is in a bullish market condition and we should be looking for long trading opportunities.

My Trading Plan:

As long as the market continues to trade above 1.5911, I will be looking for long trading opportunities and will set all my TP orders below the next long term resistance level around 1.6156

All short trading opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe!

Raul Lopez

EURUSD: Consolidation period

Monday, September 28th, 2009

Earlier we talked about the consolidation period of the EURUSD, please take a look at the next chart:

EURUSD

EURUSD

We have one problem though, the consolidation period is not very well defined, so we need to widen up the main support and resistance level. Anyway, we need to wait for the market to break either the support or resistance level to start looking for a trade opportunity.

My Trading Plan:

If the market breaks 1.4858, I will be looking for long trading opportunities.

If the market breaks 1.4593, I will be looking for short trading opportunities.

If the market keeps trading in between 1.4858 and 1.4593, I will do nothing (cant trade this range as it is not very well defined).

Trade safe!

Raul Lopez