Posts Tagged ‘australian dollar’

AUDUSD: Second Call, Bearish market condition

Friday, January 29th, 2010

Earlier this week I wrote about the AUDUSD being in a bearish market condition, but it came back and traded in a new range, well… it is again in a bearish market condition:

AUDUSD

AUDUSD

My Trading Plan:

As long as the AUDUSD keeps trading below 0.8937 I will be looking for short trade opportunities.

All long opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe!
Raul Lopez

AUDUSD: Just Triggered a Bearish Market Condition

Tuesday, January 26th, 2010

One of the pairs that have been trading in between consistent support and resistance levels in the last weeks is the AUDUSD:

AUDUSD

AUDUSD

The AUDUSD just triggered a bearish market condition, so as long as the Aussie keeps trading below 0.8968 I will be looking for short trade opportunities. And of course, all long opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe!
Raul Lopez

AUDUSD: Bullish market condition, looking for long opportunities

Monday, December 28th, 2009

Hope you all had a merry Christmas with your loved ones.

After taking a few days off (and hope you did too) I’m back to trade the FX market. I see that the market didn’t move that much, just a few pips here and there.

I see most pairs are trading near long term important levels therefore we need to wait for the market to confirm either a breakout or rejection of such levels. However, a few of them are trading in a clear market condition, one of them is the Australian Dollar.

The AUDUSD is trading in a bullish market condition, it broke the short term resistance level during in the Asian opening, setting it up for a bullish market condition:

AUDUSD

AUDUSD

My Trading Plan:

As long as the AUDUSD trades above 0.8829 I will look for long trade opportunities. My next LT resistance level is at 0.9100

All short opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe!
Raul Lopez

AUDUSD: Bullish market condition, trading in a LT range

Thursday, December 10th, 2009

Most pairs are trading near or at an important long term level, on those pairs we need to wait for further confirmation before looking for a trade opportunity, so… patience…

One of the few trade opportunities today I think is on the AUDUSD. It is trading in a long term range, in between 0.9298 and 0.9025:

AUDUSD

AUDUSD

It was rejected from the main support level, is it is expected that the market continues its way up until it reaches the next LT resistance level around 0.9298.

We got to be careful though, we could see a retracement in the short term charts to the 0.9113 level.

Here is my trading plan for the AUDUSD:

As long as the market continues to trade above 0.9113 I will be looking for long trade opportunities. My next LT resistance level is at 0.9296.

All short opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe
Raul Lopez

AUDUSD: Bearish Market Condition, looking for short opportunities

Thursday, November 19th, 2009

On Tuesday we talked about the AUDUSD, we mentioned that it was trading in a short term range in between 0.9363 and 0.9234 therefore the Australian dollar needed to break that range before starting to look for trade opportunities.

Well, its out of that range now, it broke through the bottom of the range and it is now in a bearish market condition, here is the chart:

AUDUSD

AUDUSD

Since we are in a bearish market condition, we should only look for short trade opportunities.

Here is my trading plan:

As long as the Australian dollar continues to trade below 0.9234 I will be looking for short opportunities. My next long term support level is at 0.8950

All long opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe
Raul Lopez

AUDUSD: Trading at an important level

Wednesday, November 18th, 2009

The AUDUSD has been trading in a short term range since Monday, what is interesting is that the range is near a long term resistance level:

AUDUSD

AUDUSD

This means that we need to wait for the market to break the range of 0.9234 – 0.9363 before we have a clear market condition.

Here is my trading plan:

If the AUDUSD breaks 0.9363 for the upside, I will start to look for long trade opportunities. The next long term resistance level is at 0.9517

If the Australian dollar breaks the 0.9234 for the downside, I will start to look for short trading opportunities. The next short term support level is at 0.8959

If the market continues to trade in the short term range, I will do nothing.

Trade Safe

Raul Lopez

AUDUSD Update

Thursday, November 12th, 2009

Yesterday we wrote an article about the possible bullish market condition of the AUDUSD, and it was bullish, but it only last for a few hours. The AUDUSD came back to the neutral territory and stayed there for a while.

Things have changed today though, earlier this morning we saw the AUDUSD break the short term support level which puts the Australian dollar in a bearish market condition.

AUDUSD

AUDUSD

I don’t like it when we see any pair changing from bullish to bearish and vice versa, but if we take a look at the daily chart its clear that the market was rejected from the resistance level (we had a false breakout last Wednesday).

Also take in consideration the AUDUSD is trading below every important level in the short term charts, so everything is in line now.

Anyway, here is my trading plan:

As long as the market keeps trading below 0.9259 I will be looking for short opportunities. The next LT support level is at 0.9993

All long opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe

Raul Lopez

AUDUSD: Finally in a bullish market condition

Thursday, November 12th, 2009

It’s been difficult to find trading opportunities this week (other than in the USDCAD), but apparently the end of the week has something for us. The AUDUSD broke an important long term resistance level:

AUDUSD

AUDUSD

This puts the AUDUSD in a bullish market condition, therefore only long positions are in play.

Here is my trading plan:

As long as the AUDUSD trades above 0.9335 I will be looking for long trading opportunities. All TP orders will be set below the next LT resistance level 0.9485

All short opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe!

Raul Lopez

AUDUSD: Looking for short opportunities

Monday, October 26th, 2009

This Monday has been difficult for most currency pairs because of the wild moves we saw in the EUR pairs, last Friday movements in the GBP pairs… Probably the best thing to do today is to look for the clearest trading opportunities, like the AUDUSD

Last Thursday we talked about the AUDUSD, we mentioned the market was trading in a short term range and it needed to break either side of the range to start looking for a trading opportunity. Well, just broke the bottom of the range:

AUDUSD

AUDUSD

This puts the Aussie-dollar in a bearish market condition, looking for short trading opportunities.

My Trading Plan:

As long as the market keeps trading below 0.9193, I will be looking for short trading opportunities. All TP orders will bet set around 0.9022.

All long opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe!

Raul Lopez

AUDUSD: Trading at an important resistance

Friday, October 23rd, 2009

The AUDUSD is trading at an important long term resistance level (blue line):

AUDUSD

AUDUSD

I would like to see the AUDUSD out of the short term range before think about opening a position here.

Here is my Trading Plan

If the Australian Dollar breaks the top of the short term range, I will be looking for long trading opportunities. All take profit orders will be placed below the next LT resistance level around 0.9638.

If the Australian dollar breaks the bottom of the range, I will be looking for short trading opportunities. All take profit orders will be placed above the next LT support level around 0.9022.

If the market keeps trading in between the ST range, I will do nothing.

Trade Safe!

Raul Lopez

AUDUSD: Broke the range, long trades in play

Wednesday, September 30th, 2009

The AUDUSD kept trading in a very tight range in the last 2 weeks. But earlier today the Aussie broke that range for the upside, this is what I got:

AUDUSD

AUDUSD

Now that it is out of that range, we entered a bullish market condition and should be looking only for long trading opportunities.

My Trading Plan:

As long as the AUDUSD keeps trading above 0.8781 I will be looking for long trading opportunities. All TP orders will be placed below the next long term resistance level around 0.9006

All short trading opportunities will be ignored.

Trade Safe!

Raul Lopez

AUDUSD: Long trades in play

Wednesday, August 19th, 2009

Earlier this morning the AUDUSD was trading just at an important long term support level, it created a little range in the short term charts, but now it is trading above that range. Please take a look at the next chart:

AUDUSD

AUDUSD

Now that the market is trading above the short term range, it has a clear path to the next long term resistance level.

My Trading Plan:

As long as the market keeps trading above 0.8263, I will look for long trading opportunities. The next resistance level is around 0.8453.

I will ignore all short trading opportunities.

Good luck!

Raul Lopez

AUDUSD – Longs in Play

Friday, June 19th, 2009

For what’s left of the week, probably the best pair to trade right now would be the AUDUSD, it is trading in a range, trading above last session high, no clear resistance until .8200, in the previous days it was rejected from the main support zone…

AUDUSD

AUDUSD

My Trading Plan for the AUDUSD:

Look for long opportunities, all targets will be placed below the main resistance level around .8200

All short opportunities are out of play.

Good luck and have a good weekend

Raul Lopez